The Peak Perspective

Death, Taxes, and Identity Theft

Death, Taxes, and Identity Theft Although Benjamin Franklin’s famous quote on the certainty of death and taxes didn’t include the risk of identity theft, it would be fitting in today’s world. Every year, identity thieves attempt to pilfer billions in federal withholdings from unsuspecting individuals. It has become crucial for taxpayers to exercise extra vigilance,…

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Quarterly Client Letter: Q4 2023

“I think that a life properly lived is just learn, learn, learn all the time.” Charlie Munger, 2017 Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting Investing in financial markets is a constant education. A year ago, a Bloomberg survey of economists forecasted a 65% probability of recession for 2023. As the year progressed, there were plenty of reasons…

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Obsessing Over Interest Rates

Obsessing Over Interest Rates “The theory of interest bears a close resemblance to the theory of prices, of which, in fact, it is a special aspect. The rate of interest expresses a price in the exchange between present and future goods. Just as, in the ordinary theory of prices, the ratio of exchange of any…

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You Only Have to Get Rich Once

You Only Have to Get Rich Once Charlie Munger recently appeared on the Acquired Podcast. Needless to say, we are fans of Munger and recommend listening to the full interview. The interviewers asked Charlie what advice he would give to young people today. Charlie was, unsurprisingly, quite modest in his response. He spent considerable time…

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Quarterly Client Letter: Q3 2023

Quarterly Client Letter: Q3 2023 A soft landing is a primary objective, and I did not say otherwise.  I mean, that’s what we’ve been trying to achieve for all this time. The real point though, is the worst thing we can do is to fail to restore price stability… Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, Responding…

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Keep It Simple

Keep It Simple “I refuse to join any club that would have me as a member.” -Groucho Marx I was at a dinner this summer with other portfolio managers from wealth management firms in the Denver area to talk about markets and investing. When we were asked if we invest in private markets on behalf…

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Medicare Overview 2023

What is Medicare? In our latest publication of Financial Intelligence, we referenced a document called “Medicare Overview and Local Resources 2023”. We are recirculating this Medicare reference guide as a standalone document below. Medicare is health insurance for the following: People 65 or older People under 65 with certain disabilities Learn more about Medicare here:…

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Rolling with the Punches

Rolling with the Punches The Federal Reserve has raised the effective Fed Funds rate over the past 18 months from 0% to 5.33%. The 10-year US Treasury Yield just hit a 15-year high around 4.30%. Mortgage rates are back above 7%. Source: YCharts via Peak Asset Management   If we had known that this is…

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HSA Key Numbers 2024

The IRS recently updated its health savings account “HSA” limits for 2024 as well as the 2024 minimum deductible and maximum out-of-pocket amounts for high-deductible health plans (HDHPs). Below is a comparison of the key changes that you should be aware of:   What’s changed for 2024? Here are the updated key tax numbers relating…

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Quarterly Client Letter: Q2 2023

“Hindsight, the ability to explain the past, gives us the illusion that the world is understandable. It gives us the illusion that the world makes sense, even when it doesn’t make sense. That’s a big deal in producing mistakes in many fields.” -Daniel Kahneman Imagine you are the chief executive of the Finnish tire maker…

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Fool Me Twice: The U.S. Housing Market

Fool Me Twice: The U.S. Housing Market As markets internalized the risks of COVID-19 in March 2020, stock prices for home construction companies crashed (proxied here with ITB, the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF). A precipitous drop in economic activity is historically bearish for home builders; perhaps in understandable fashion, investors rushed to sell their…

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Stock Review: VF Corporation

Stock Review: VF Corporation      We’ve written in the past about our mindset of buying businesses as a way to ground and guide our investment philosophy. In that spirit, we’ve recently added a new business – VF Corporation (VFC) – to our model portfolio. VF Corp is an apparel company that owns outdoor and…

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Quarterly Client Letter: Q1 2023

“Recent indicators point to modest growth in spending and production. Job gains have picked up in recent months and are running at a robust pace; the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated. The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. Recent developments are likely to result in tighter credit conditions for households and…

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